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Inflation Anxiety: Why Rising Prices Feel Worse

Prices rising hits harder than the same amount of pay going down, and there are three separate reasons for that. What to do with the worry once you name it.

3 min read

Pop-art illustration of a person in a supermarket produce aisle holding a pineapple, seen from the side.

Key takeaways

  • Rising prices feel worse than an equivalent fall in income because losses are weighted more heavily than gains of the same size, and a price rise is experienced as a loss while a pay rise is experienced as a gain.
  • People reason in nominal amounts rather than in purchasing power, which is why a larger number on a payslip can feel like progress during a year when it bought less than the smaller number did.
  • Money worry consumes attention that is then unavailable for everything else. In one widely cited experiment, prompting people to think about a large financial problem reduced performance on reasoning tasks among poorer participants but not among better-off ones.
  • The attention cost is why inflation anxiety spreads into decisions that have nothing to do with money, and why it does not stop when a particular bill is paid.
  • Almost none of this is fixed by knowing the actual inflation figure, because the discomfort attaches to individual prices you can see rather than to an average you cannot.

Inflation feels worse than the same amount of lost income because a price rise arrives as a loss and a smaller payslip arrives as a smaller gain, and losses are weighted more heavily than gains of equal size. That asymmetry is one of the most robust findings in the psychology of decision-making, and it means the discomfort is not an overreaction to the numbers.

Two further mechanisms sit on top of it, and together the three explain why reading the official figure almost never helps.

Losses count for more than gains

It was set out by [kahneman-tversky-1979-prospect] in 1979. People do not evaluate outcomes in absolute terms but as changes from a reference point, and the curve is steeper on the loss side than on the gain side. Experimental estimates of how much steeper generally land between one and a half and two and a half times.

Apply that to a shop. The price of something you buy every week going up is a loss measured against the price you were paying, which is the reference point. A pay rise that fails to keep up is a gain, just a disappointing one. Identical damage to your finances, unequal weight in the part of you that does the feeling.

This is also why the same amount of money hurts differently depending on how it arrives. A bill that rises is worse than a discount that disappears, though the arithmetic is the same.

You reason in numbers, not in purchasing power

The second mechanism is what economists call money illusion, and it was documented by [shafir-1997-money-illusion] in a series of scenarios in 1997. People think in nominal monetary values, the actual figures, rather than in what those figures buy. Both representations are available, and the nominal one tends to dominate.

The practical consequence is a lag. A larger number on the payslip reads as progress on the day it appears, because the number is what is being compared. The purchasing power shows up later and separately, at the till, where it is experienced as prices being outrageous rather than as the raise having been inadequate. The two never get connected, and the result is a diffuse sense that something has gone wrong with no single event to attach it to.

Money worry uses up attention

The third mechanism is the one with practical consequences beyond money.

In one study, [mani-2013-poverty-cognition] asked shoppers to consider a hypothetical financial problem and then gave them reasoning and attention tasks. When the problem was large, poorer participants performed worse than they had after considering a small problem. Better-off participants were unaffected. A field study with sugarcane farmers found the same individuals performed worse before harvest, when money was tight, than after it.

The proposed explanation is not that hardship makes people less capable. It is that an unresolved financial problem occupies capacity, and capacity spent on that is not available for anything else. The tax is levied on whatever you are doing at the time.

Which is why inflation anxiety shows up as forgetting things, as a shortened temper, and as decisions in unrelated parts of life getting worse. Those look like separate problems and are one problem with a wide footprint. Our overview of what stress actually does covers the physical side of that load, and our guide to financial stress covers the broader relationship between money and mental health, including the evidence that it runs in both directions.

Why the worry outlives the price

Worry that keeps going after the bill is paid has usually stopped being about the bill. What sustains it is the forecast rather than the event: prices went up once, which is evidence they will go up again, and there is no version of the future you can check.

That is the structure of ordinary worry rather than anything specific to money. It is a loop that runs because it feels like preparation, and it produces the sensation of having worked on a problem without any of the effects of having worked on it. We have written separately about what rumination actually is and why it resists being argued with.

The intervention with the best support for this shape is not to think about it less. It is to think about it on purpose, at a fixed time, and to decline the rest.

A money worry window

Pick a length, start it, and spend the whole time on money deliberately: what is actually due, what you can move, what you need to find out. When it ends, stop. The point is not to solve it in one sitting, it is to give the worry a reliable appointment so it stops booking itself into the rest of your day.

10:00

Stay on the concrete version. What is due, when, and what is the next single action. If you find yourself in a future year, come back to this month.

Do it earlier in the day rather than at bedtime, and keep it in the same place each time. If something urgent surfaces, act on it; the rule applies to worrying, not to doing.

What the evidence does not establish

The cognitive-load study is the one to hold most loosely. It has been contested in the same journal it appeared in, and the disagreement concerns the analysis rather than the existence of the phenomenon. The wider finding that financial strain and mental health are related is very well supported. The specific magnitude that gets quoted from that paper is not settled.

The decision-making research is laboratory work with hypothetical amounts, which is a legitimate way to study how comparisons are made and a poor way to estimate how anybody behaves with a real deadline and real consequences.

And none of this speaks to whether a particular person’s financial fear is proportionate. Sometimes the accurate response to a set of numbers is alarm, and psychology has nothing useful to say to somebody whose problem is that there is not enough money.

Where the felt increase tends to concentrate Illustrative
A few visible, frequent prices
  • Prices seen weekly 46%
  • One or two large annual bills 29%
  • Everything else that also rose 15%
  • Things that held or fell 10%

A schematic of the distinction described in this article, drawn to show relative share of attention rather than measured spending data.

The shape is drawn rather than measured, and its purpose is the last two slices. Prices you meet often dominate the impression, which is why the published average can be correct and still feel like a lie.

What helps

Separate the arithmetic from the worry, and do them at different times. Most people do neither properly because they do both at once, at midnight. Numbers on paper in the morning; the feeling gets its own window.

Count in percentages of your own income, not in pounds or dollars. The nominal amount is what triggers the illusion. What proportion of a month it represents is the figure that carries information.

Look at the prices that did not move. Not as a consolation, which does not work, but as a correction to a sample that is being drawn entirely from things that got worse.

Fix a review date instead of monitoring continuously. Checking a balance eleven times a day is not vigilance, it is the loop feeding itself. Once a week is enough for almost every real decision.

Get the actual numbers from somebody qualified if there is genuine debt. A free debt advice service will change the situation in ways no amount of thinking about it will, and doing that in parallel with everything above is better than choosing between them.

When to seek help

Speak to a doctor or a mental health professional if worry about money is present most days regardless of what is happening, if it is disrupting your sleep or your concentration, or if it has spread into physical symptoms. If low mood has come with it and lasted more than a couple of weeks, that is worth raising in the same appointment rather than waiting to see whether the finances resolve first.

If you are having thoughts of harming yourself, treat that as urgent and contact your local emergency services or a crisis helpline.

How MyFreud can help

MyFreud tracks how your days actually go alongside what happened in them, which is the only reliable way to find out whether the worry is tracking your finances or running on its own. If the bad days cluster around real financial events, that is one problem. If they do not, that is a different problem, and knowing which one you have changes what is worth doing next.

Download MyFreud and start today: App Store or Google Play.

Frequently asked questions

Why does inflation feel worse than the official numbers say?

Three things stack. You see the prices that rose and not the ones that held, because a rise is what gets noticed and remembered. The published figure is an average across a basket that is not your basket, so it can be accurate about the economy and wrong about your week. And a rise in the cost of something you already buy registers as a loss, which psychological research consistently finds is weighted more heavily than a gain of the same size. None of those are errors of reasoning you can talk yourself out of by reading the statistic.

Why does a pay rise during inflation not feel like a pay rise?

Because it usually is not one, and because the part of your mind doing the comparing is not adjusting for prices anyway. Research on what is called money illusion finds that people reason in nominal amounts, the numbers on the payslip, rather than in what those amounts buy. The result cuts both ways. A raise smaller than inflation can briefly feel like progress, and then the gap between the number and the shopping shows up as a vague sense that something is wrong without an obvious cause.

Can financial stress actually affect concentration?

The evidence points that way, with a caveat. A 2013 study found that prompting people to consider a large hypothetical financial problem reduced performance on reasoning and attention tasks among poorer participants, while leaving better-off participants unaffected, and a field component found the same farmers performed worse before harvest than after it. The interpretation is that money worry occupies capacity rather than that it lowers ability. The specific findings have been contested in the same journal, so treat the size of the effect as unsettled while the general direction is well supported by the wider literature.

How do I stop worrying about money constantly?

Constant worry is rarely reduced by trying to have less of it, and the more reliable approach is to give it a fixed place instead. Set a specific short window in the day for money, do the actual thinking then, and when it surfaces outside that window note it and return to it at the appointed time. The technique is borrowed from treatment for generalised worry, where it has decent support. It works because the worry is not asking to be resolved, it is asking to be attended to, and a reliable appointment satisfies that.

When does money worry become an anxiety problem?

A reasonable rule of thumb is when the worry has stopped tracking the situation. Worry that rises before a bill and settles after it is doing its job, however unpleasant. Worry that continues at the same intensity after the bill is paid, that has spread to money questions years away, or that is producing physical symptoms and broken sleep on days when nothing financial happened, has become a pattern in its own right and responds to different treatment from the financial problem underneath it.

References

  1. 1.Shafir E, Diamond P, Tversky A ( 1997). Money illusion. The Quarterly Journal of Economics. doi:10.1162/003355397555208
  2. 2.Mani A, Mullainathan S, Shafir E, Zhao J ( 2013). Poverty impedes cognitive function. Science. doi:10.1126/science.1238041
  3. 3.Kahneman D, Tversky A ( 1979). Prospect theory: an analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica.